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Old 2009 February 20th, 07:11 PM   #3 (permalink)
paul2432
Within my grasp!
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 114
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cambridgedove View Post
Come on, nobody can help me?
How can there be a 20% chance of leaving the room if it is empty? Assuming the room can have negative occupancy, then by simulation the answer is 0.61.

I don't know an easy way to calculate this. Note that the expected occupancy after 104 weeks is 104[(0.6)(1)+(0.2)(0)-(0.2)(1)] = 41.6

Paul
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