Vista Studios movie sequel

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Vista Studios movie sequel
“A series of books based on the characters from a popular movie are consistently best sellers in local bookstores. Seeking to capitalize on the books’ success, Vista studios is planning to produce a movie sequel based on the books. Due to the success of the books and the original movie, the sequel will undoubtedly be profitable.”

My Response - please provide any feedback. Thanks again!

The argument that a movie sequel based on a successful book series will be profitable due to the fact that the first movie was a success and that the books are consistently best sellers is plausible but makes an assumption that requires further investigation.

Most conspicuously, the argument states that the first movie was successful but does not specify if the movie was in fact profitable. Vista studios may have decided to pick up the rights to create a sequel of a successful yet unprofitable reproduction of the best-selling series. The definition of success does not ensure profitability. The argument must assume that success equals profitable to make its conclusion. For example, the movie may have been a big box office hit but the cost of production may have surpassed the revenue from the box office, thus making a successful yet unprofitable production. Furtherore, sequels are notorious for flopping at the box office. Due to the potential hype of a movie sequel, the movie goer expects that the sequel be superior. Even though the first movie was considered a success does not ensure that the sequel will follow suit. Vista studio will undoubtedly require an increase in budget for production to create the sequel in an attempt to better the first movie and satisfy the demanding movie goer. This increases the risk of profitability. Sequels are more prone to poor word of mouth reviews from the movie goer that can quickly determine the ill fate of the movie. All this factors are not addressed in the statement leaving several flaws in the argument's logic.

Another consideration that the argument fails to resolve is the response from the readers of the best-selling series. The final book of the series, which the sequel may be based on, could have been a best-seller but received with unenthusiastic reviews. The potential of negative feedback from the last series in the book could in turn cause the sequel to flop prior to its release.

Movies, such as, Lord of the Rings and Harry Potter, are prime examples were movie sequels, based on a successful book series, have in fact been successful and profitable. The argument can be strengthened by providing comparison analysis and parallel evidence to these movies and the movie in question. More evidence and analysis on the performance of the previous movie’s success as well as forecasted predictions of revenue can further increase the argument’s case.

In summary, the argument attempts to assume a conclusion by linking premises that are not directly correlated. Mainly, the assumption that a movie is considered successful assumes that the movie was profitable. If that line of reasoning was in fact followed by the movie makers it could prove to be a risky venture for Vista Studios.