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Old 2009 November 4th, 08:52 PM   #1 (permalink)
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SC: Football picks..

In the past six pro footballs drafts, 4 out of 6 players selected by team A are now starters on the squad. On team B, only 2 out of 6 players selected in the draft are starters. So, a football player selected by Team A from the draft pool has a higher probability of becoming a starter than if he is selected by Team B.

Which of the following would best weaken the argument ?

a) Two of the 4 starters on Team A are sons of the coach.
b) Team B has a new owner and coaching staff.
c) Team B has a new state of the art GYM
d) Team B's pick is a quarterback, and the starting quareterback is retiring.
e) Team A has had the first pick for the past 6 years, while Team B had the last pick. This year it is reversed.
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Old 2009 November 5th, 08:41 AM   #2 (permalink)
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IMO D
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Old 2009 November 5th, 09:06 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nverma View Post
In the past six pro footballs drafts, 4 out of 6 players selected by team A are now starters on the squad. On team B, only 2 out of 6 players selected in the draft are starters. So, a football player selected by Team A from the draft pool has a higher probability of becoming a starter than if he is selected by Team B.

Which of the following would best weaken the argument ?

a) Two of the 4 starters on Team A are sons of the coach.
b) Team B has a new owner and coaching staff.
c) Team B has a new state of the art GYM
d) Team B's pick is a quarterback, and the starting quareterback is retiring.
e) Team A has had the first pick for the past 6 years, while Team B had the last pick. This year it is reversed.
I think the answer should be (A)
This is the only option that negates the arguement that a team member from team A has a higher probability of becoming a starter Vs that of team B

option 2, dos not help us understand anything as to why the difference is caused
option 3. New state of the art gym does not help explain the discrepancy
option 4. whether the current quarterback is retiring or not, is hardly of any significance to explain/negate the line of arguement
OPtion 5. First pick or last pick is irrelevant to the comparison of probablility of success in Team A vs Team B

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Old 2009 November 5th, 09:54 AM   #4 (permalink)
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IMO it is E .
Being the first pick gives an advantage to team A (if 2 people are equally qualified in both Team A and B ,because A gets picked first the 2 persons get chosen from A rather than from B )
A does not suggest whether the sons were being chosen for all 6 yrs making room for doubt .
rest all are irrelevant .
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Old 2009 November 5th, 10:25 PM   #5 (permalink)
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E - Team A need not pick a starter.

Hence IMO (D)
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Old 2009 November 6th, 01:57 AM   #6 (permalink)
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IMO D

Conclusion -
Team A player has higher prob getting selected as starter.

Premise -
More starters in Team A - 4/6
Less starters in Team B - 2/6
Weaken this argument.

If the player is not selected randomly then there wont be any probability in selection.

a) Two of the 4 starters on Team A are sons of the coach.
This increases the chances as the coach will lobby for their kids, thus stregthen the argument.

b) Team B has a new owner and coaching staff.
This makes the selection fair, however, as the number of starting players is more in A. This will support the conclusion.

c) Team B has a new state of the art GYM
Out of scope

d) Team B's pick is a quarterback, and the starting quarter back is retiring.
In this case the player who has to be selected is specified. Thereby, increasing the probability.

e) Team A has had the first pick for the past 6 years, while Team B had the last pick. This year it is reversed.
Reversing the order of selection doesnt help increase or decrease the probability.

What is OA?
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Old 2009 November 6th, 06:01 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Answer is A.


B is out because we don't know what the new coach and owner will do.
C is irrelevant.
D and E are out because we are not talking about the just the next draft pick, but all draft picks from the past and the future.
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Old 2009 November 6th, 06:11 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by achar_varun View Post
Answer is A.


B is out because we don't know what the new coach and owner will do.
C is irrelevant.
D and E are out because we are not talking about the just the next draft pick, but all draft picks from the past and the future.

Do you mean your answer is A or the Official Answer (OA) is A?
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Old 2009 November 6th, 04:56 PM   #9 (permalink)
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IMO D
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Old 2009 November 11th, 12:07 AM   #10 (permalink)
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We have a mixed bag of answer..

the OA is E

AND I STILL DIDN'T GOT THE QUESTION...

PLEASE SOMEONE EXPLAIN..
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