Profile Evaulation (Fall 2018). Unsure on range and lack of prestigious names?

[metafuze]

Hi all! Been lurking the last year, and now hoping to get an idea of range so I can get an early start on applications for the upcoming cycle:

 

PROFILE:

Type of Undergrad: Econ, typical state school, department not well known.

Undergrad GPA: 3.96/4.00

Type of Grad: ARE/AREC top 10

Grad GPA: 3.91/4.00

GRE: Q 169, V 162, AWA 5

Math Courses:

Calc 1,2,3 (A,A,A), Linear Algebra 1,2 (A,B), Differential Equations (A), Intro Stats (A), Stat Theory (A), Design of Experiments (A), Math for Economists (A), Proof Writing & Elementary Analysis (Fall '17)

Econ Courses:

Intro Micro (A), Intro Macro (A), Intermediate Micro (A), Intermediate Macro(A), Money & Banking (A), Public Finance (A), Environmental Econ (A), History of Econ Thought (A), Intro Econometrics (A), Int Econometrics (B), Advanced Econometrics (Fall '17)

 

Other Courses: The regular stuff

Letters of Recommendation:

1. 2-year graduate RA professor, top 15 PhD

2. Department head, rank 20-30 PhD, 2 classes

3. Department head, top 50 PhD, 3 classes, advisor.

Research Experience:

2-year RA in grad school, including summer semester

Submitting co-authored paper with RA professor next month, journal is low-mid rank.

Journal-style research paper for Econometrics class

Fall '17 data analysis project with data from large U.S company

Teaching Experience:

TA, 'Math for Economists' class in grad

Tutor for Intro/Intermediate Micro & Macro for for 2.5 years at undergrad

Research Interests: Health, Environmental/Nat Res, Labor

SOP: Good, you would hope.

Concerns:

Undergrad program is unknown2 B's (Linear Algebra 2 and Intermediate Econometrics)

Proofs/analysis class is not a full analysis class (2/3 proof writing, 1/3 analysis topics)

 

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I wasn't able to do obtain an RA positions at my undergrad as I was a student-athlete and time constraints were formidable. Is this a problem?

 

My professors have told me to apply to a few top 10-15s, a handful of 20-40, and a couple in the 50 and lower range. Is this too optimistic? Last year's pool seemed competitive and I don't have any particularly prestigious names on my profile.

 

Greatly appreciate any feedback!