View Full Version : Inflation forecast data for Germany, any ideas?

08-04-2007, 12:25 AM
I'm looking for Inflation forecast survey data for Germany from 1979 to 2007.

I have searched in three places: the Consensus Economics Survey, the European Commissions Consumer Surveys and the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW)

BUT it seems not be available to the public and asks for $$$$ :rolleyes:

ANY ideas/suggestions will be greatly appreciated.

08-04-2007, 03:39 AM
I'm sure there would be some data on this on the Deutsche Bundesbank or ECB website. For me that'd be the 1st place to look at.

08-04-2007, 04:01 AM
You could contact the authors of papers who have used the data you need, to see if they can share their data with you or if they have other suggestions. You might try the authors of this paper (http://www.springerlink.com/content/583m3n43958n2728/) (contact info listed in the link). It sounds like they have exactly the data you need. If you can use actual rather than predicted inflation figures, you can get the CPI from the national bank's website.

Junior economist
08-05-2007, 02:04 AM
EUROPA - Eurostat - Data Navigation Tree (http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page?_pageid=1996,45323734&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL&screen=welcomeref&open=/prc/prc_hicp&language=fr&product=EU_MASTER_prices&root=EU_MASTER_prices&scrollto=0)

Source: Eurostat

08-05-2007, 02:28 AM
Thank you so much all you guys!
Junior Economist: thank you but I'm looking for *expected* inflation (by the consumers); I know it's hard to find this kind of data :doh:.

08-09-2007, 01:53 PM
Tricky to get hold of survey data. For historical forecasts, I'd suggest searching/emailing the OECD site for their historical 6 month forecasts. Or, you could try to get hold of the data used for this paper: SpringerLink - Journal Article (http://www.springerlink.com/content/583m3n43958n2728/).