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Re: Phd in Economics - Fall 2020 Cycle
I think more proof-based maths courses will strengthen your profile a lot, and I believe real analysis is a must;
I wouldn't worry about lack of publication if I were you, but only one summer thesis does not prepare you for research very well. Will your thesis supervisor write you a LOR?
Try to get some RA experience to improve your not-so-solid research experience.
What is your job for the 5-year time lag? If that somehow includes some research experience you might be fine with it.
With your current profile, I'm not sure if you have a fair chance with UBC or UoT. But for other Canadian schools you should be fine in my view. Top 20 PhD programs in the US might be out of reach with your current profile, unless your 5-year job includes significant research experience. I would suggest you apply for Top 40 US programs, and you might be waitlisted for some Top 20 programs.