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Re: 2021 profile evaluation
I don't think you'd be competitive for T30 yet; I'd say that you would probably get into T50-60 programs. Especially if your goal is to go into academia, it would be wise to position yourself for a couple of years so you can get into a better-placing program. Some advice, if I was in your shoes (and again - you don't necessarily have to follow what *I* would do):
1. Take on an RA position under a professor during your last year, and opt to apply out to full-time RA positions (at the Fed, at other universities, etc.) There are a couple benefits here, the first of which is simply knowing whether or not you really want to pursue a PhD (which should be because you want to conduct original research), in addition to opportunities for excellent letters, especially coming from an unranked institution.
2. While at university, take a yearlong Probability and Statistics (in the Math Department). Do some studying so that when you RA, you can retake Real Analysis and do well in it. Alternatively (and perhaps more optimally), you could take Real Analysis II (in addition to Prob/Stat) at your university (an A is key), and then try to take a graduate Micro course (and maybe Metrics too) while you are RAing. Fed RA positions will reimburse you quite generously to take courses while you work full-time.
If you follow these steps and receive high marks in your academics and in your RA work, I see no reason why you wouldn't have a decent shot at the Top-30.