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  1. Let me begin by introducing myself: I’m a sell-side analyst on Wall Street and partner at an investment bank, despite an academic background outside of finance (not uncommon on WS). I am far, far too old to do a PhD, but there is quite clearly a topic that demands research because it is exploited and misunderstood both by journalists and politicians of various political viewpoints despite rather clear understanding of the issue in finance (albeit significant confusion and disagreement in academic economics). The issue is namely the relevance of national assets both publicly and privately held to analyzing the sustainability and economic impact of public debt. While the Laffer curve is not taken seriously anymore except by the most partisan and biased people, concerns over debt sustainability have a central point in policymaking--to the point that Biden’s cabinet is fretting that “the pantry is going to be bare” when they take office, implying that too high public debt will limit the ability to produce more coronavirus-relief stimulus. The MMT response that debt can be created in infinity because of sovereign money printing abilities is not a cogent answer, since the experiences of many nations demonstrates that government debt DOES matter sometimes and will result in inflation during the right conditions. What those conditions are, how they come about, and how they can be quantified is shockingly glossed over by debt hawks, who often take a moralistic tone about debt (even academic economists--John Cochrane and Bryan Caplan, for instance). Meanwhile the dovish side, particularly the MMT crowd, simply dismiss a need to understand those conditions.There is a research opportunity here, and a very simple one: determine the conditions in which government debt produces inflation and establishing a limit to how much debt a country can manage. This is nothing new, and it is customarily measured via the debt-to-GDP ratio. However, any first-year analyst at a bank will tell you this is a bad measurement; specifically, it is mixing up stocks versus flows.While such a comparison is important to gauging debt serviceability in some instances, the much more important gauge for establishing the creditworthiness of an entity is always analyzing debt to assets. The debt:asset ratio question is central to all fundamental analysis in credit and equity markets, but it is almost unheard of on the very important question of the natoinal debt.Few researchers have tackled this issue. Elizabeth Holmquist and Susan McIntosh, when they were at the Federal Reserve, did a cursory study (FRB: FEDS Notes: U.S. Net Wealth in the Financial Accounts of the United States). To my knowledge, there has been little analysis of the issue since, yet it is a very simple and effective way to cut through the unproductive discourse on the left (“deficits don’t matter print forever”) and the right (“we’re going to be Zimbabwe soon”) with a rational, data-driven, and empirical assertion: America can have X amount of debt because it has Y amount of assets and we know from this analysis that when that ratio hits Z we get higher inflation. This is an obvious PhD topic, and if I were younger or in a position to get another PhD it is something I would pursue, as I think the power of this research to improve public policy AND public discourse in America is overwhelming. That is why I’m posting this here, in the hopes that someone sees this and is at the very least inspired to pursue this kind of reasoning if they don’t outright run with this idea entirely (which I very much hope someone will do).
  2. PROMPT: To understand the most important characteristics of a society, one must study its major cities. {Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the statement and explain your reasoning for the position you take. In developing and supporting your position, you should consider ways in which the statement might or might not hold true and explain how these considerations shape your position.} A society is a major driver of a nation and it is also the society that determines its development. Cities are important to consider when studying a society but the major facets of a nation are more pronounced in the villages and towns as well as small cities of that culture. Thence, it is imperative to consider their culture and practices while formulating one’s viewpoints about a society to get a holistic understanding of how the society works. Studying major cities may facilitate a learning that is one-sided and skewed towards a certain section of society that resides in these important cities. Moreover, a significant part of the population is concentrated in the many villages and towns which form the main structure of the society. These entities are mainly agrarian in nature and are labeled as the backbone of a society. To ignore them and not consider their importance would be a shame. The approach of basing the exploration of a society’s elements merely on the processes and life in major cities is inherently classist. By doing so, one would be avoiding and disrespecting the development that the society’s peasantry and the townships have experienced. Metropolitan cities do not have an exclusive culture of their own when viewed from a reductionist lens of understanding. They are the hotspots for nearby villages, towns and cities to migrate to and seek better opportunities. A thorough understanding of a society is incomplete without giving enough credit to the pure cultural practices and rituals observed in these entities of a culture. It can be inferred that cities do not hold a pure culture and are continually experiencing major changes in terms of their population types and their practices. Therefore, it would result in an unstable understanding of the society. The signs of development in major cities are quite remarkable with some of them forming important epicenter or hubs to delineate a society’s understanding. However, the different colors and flavors of that development are a direct contribution of migrants and working class who in desolate search of opportunities have made the cities into what they are today. The cities can be considered as the creamy layer of a society with its advanced and much forward livelihoods and lifestyles but the rest of the cake is made up by the townships and village culture. It will be a problematic paradigm and would lack the inclusivity which is an important characteristic of a society. Nevertheless, the major cities can be broken down into small shards which are a subculture of their own, each derived from other villages, towns and cities. Hence, the elements which form the constituent parts of a society cannot be ignored while giving its large cities a major outlook.
  3. Hi guys. Any website with practice question or quizes ? . Also how important is bio-statics in fpgee ?
  4. Hello urch members, happy to be a part of this forum! Can anybody suggest about the most important FPGEE study materials need to buy or which books are most important to start study for the FPGEE. Thanks in advance!
  5. Choosing between measure theoretic probability and a graduate statistics class using Casella/Berger. I have some expectation of doing theory in the future, but I'm not all in. Which should I take? What are the important considerations?
  6. Hi Everyone, I got admitted to a PhD Program in OB(micro) for the Fall 2018 intake. I was wondering what advice people have in terms of preparing for the program? Is there anything you would have done before you started the program now that you are in the program? I have heard that its important to brush up on statistics and get familiar with structured equation modelling and multi-level. Can someone suggest good resources for brushing up on stats especially within the micro OB context? I was also told that its important to get familiar with a statistical software. I have used STATA before but my hunch is that most OB people don't use STATA. Is it worthwhile spending time to get comfortable with R or is it better to stick to SPSS? I was told by my program coordinator that the more ready I am in terms of stats and current issues in OB-research, the earlier I can get started on projects with faculty members. Thanks!
  7. Hi all, I am going to study consumer behavior. I checked the Who When Where but found some info is somehow missing. For example, I couldn't find several schools' recent graduates' placements while the schools (and some people in this area but unrelated to the schools) say that their recent placements are pretty good. I also checked UTD and found confusing results. For instance, A seems to have more publications than B but people in CB area say that B is far better than A. (As for those "people in this area", one I know in person and the other two are people I met in other forums.) I desperately need some advice since it is such a big decision (especially for someone not very familiar with the US and its academic ecology) and schools started to push me to make decisions. Could you please rank (e.g., A>B=C>D... ) the following schools in terms of, say, placements (is there any other important factor that should also be taken into consideration, say, location?)? Your reply would greatly appreciated!! U of Connecticut U of Utah U of Iowa [waitlisted] U at Buffalo—​SUNY Iowa State University U of Massachusetts--Amherst U of Kentucky U of Tennessee
  8. Should it be important at all? I assume that I won't spend much time outdoors since I will barely have any free time.
  9. Hi all! I have a phone call with a director of graduate admissions at a school I was recently accepted to and am very excited about. I am wondering what sort of questions would be important to ask. I have many of my own, but don't want to miss out on anything important and thought that reaching out for advice from more experienced applicants would help me to get all the information necessary out of my phone call. Thank you in advance! --Lindsey
  10. Hi, I am trying to decide on which undergrad math courses to take for PhD econ. I have three classes in mind: probability, stat inference, and stochastic op research. Ideally, I would take all, but I'd need to drop one. I've been thinking that probability is the most important one out of them, but it's with a notoriously bad professor. So, my heart tells me that i should drop probability, but I am not sure how important it is to have probability on the list of classes I took in undergrad. Any advice/opinion on this? Thanks in advance!
  11. I followed this forum very closely last year and was led to believe real analysis is the do or die of phd first year econ. I feel I should give some new observations give one semester a a good phd program in the US. RA is useful, for first year micro, but you can learn how to wrote proofs and follow the definition-theorem-proof approach without RA as well (sure it will make life harder, but by no means is it impossible if you put in the hours and dedication - at the end of the day its just learning a new technique). While proof writing is important, my view is being completely comfortable with math stat & linear algebra and being able to solve large systems of equations (particularly macro) or complex functions is equally - if not more - important. RA serves as a signal for admissions but if anyone tells you you cant survive a good phd program without RA they're deluded. At the end of the day its about being able to put in the hours and remaining dedicated during the tough times. The rest falls into place.
  12. Title: The best way to teach is to praise positive actions and ignore negative ones. The idea of the topic is that failure should be overlooked and only success should be recognized . However, without failure, we will not learn from our mistakes, cannot handle stress and create innovative ideas. Praising positive actions do not lead to effective teaching. For example in a classroom, a teacher praising the student in only positive actions will make the student proud and self-centered. Sometimes it will also result in overconfidence of the student. This will be disastrous when she will face a difficult and will not be able to succeed. She will be devastated and will not to know how to pick up her pace. One perfect example of this situation is in the first years of a Graduate school. Most students in graduate school were already brilliant in their college and high school. Thus they were mostly praised immensely while their negative actions might have been ignored. This makes the student over confident and proud. Yet when she goes to graduate school, she no longer feels special because everyone is ingenious as her. However the same student can cope if her professors pointed her negative actions and praised her with the positive ones. If she had learned to recognize and accept her mistakes, then she would not feel overwhelmed. It is inevitable to recognize our mistake and learn from it. Learning from mistakes can only advance our ideas and help us in avoiding further mistakes. Making mistakes, learning from it and expanding ideas is the basis for all scientific fields. Thus it is important to recognize negative actions to handle difficult situations.
  13. Friends, I managed 1400 only. I only prepared for a month seriously.There are few very interesting things that I want to share with you you. First and foremost, my test did not go at all as well as I would have liked to.I was nervous and at the same time casual when I entered into the center.First the administrator told me to sign in some documents and guess what ! she pointed out that my signature is not matching with the one in my passport!!!!:eek: I tried nervously again only to manage a reluctant nod from the administrator. The test started in a deceptively friendly manner with easy issue and argument questions.Easy in the sense that, I could at least have some opinion about the topic unlike some of the other very abstract topics and specially politically flavoured ones since I can hardly write a line about politics. I moved on.Then came the verbal section and here came my first surprise.Guys I dont know about you, but I found the verbal sections in almost all the preparation books like Barron, Kaplan decently laid out and sample tests those came with the books had moderate difficulty if not very difficult. Compared to these standards the verbal section was very very easy!Well that is not reflected in my score because I am weak in reading comprehension as I take too much time to read and understand the contents.Also unlike popular suggestions I read the passage totally first time,without skipping any portion because I am comfortable with that approach.Anyway,the point is the antonym and the sentence completion questions were tremendously easy!!(thank God it was that way:D)It took 1-2 seconds for me to answer them each and I am not a native speaker of english, not had english as my first language ever,not an avid reader,not a literature student and my only defense was barrons wordlist. All the words except one was from barrons in the antonym and analogy sections.Where I was let down is in the RC section.There was 3 RC's with two of them almost back to back towards the end.I have reda in this forum that an early RC is not a good thing and thankfully didnt get one. The first 5 questions are very very crucial as you already know.Its really really important that you get your first 5 questions correct which I did because all them were either antonym or sentence completion(what a relief:D).In all the mock tests that I gave the ones with low score had a RC in the first 5 questions.So my verbal could have been worse...... I was feeling confident by this time because I knew certainly that my first 6-7 questions were absolutely correct and moved on to the next section which was quants. To give you an example,I took 5 800score tests.In one of them I got 740 with 4 incorrect and In the other one I managed 800 with 4 incorrect,i.e. same as the previous one!! The difference was I got first 7-8 questions correct in the second one and got 1 incorrect in the first five in the first test.So, keeping this in mind I moved very very cautiously perhaps a little more than was required.And then came the second surprise.Now,I know every one of us has different opinion about the difficulty level of a math problem.Some hates tricky problems,others hate lot of calculations and there are other things as well.The problems which I got were difficult in the sense that they required a lot of time for intricate calculations and process of elimination simply wont work.The wordings of the problems were juxtaposed in a way to intentionally confuse the reader However it didnt require difficult and abstract math concepts.In one problem that particularly irritated me ,the information given in form of an equation was unnecessarily repeated in words(in lot of words actually:mad:)For example If I tell you x=y+5 and then tell you a story about x and how he jumps,plays,eats and then give you one more boring description of perhaps y's latest electronic gazettes and finally telly you y is 5 years younger than x its bound to irritate you.Apart from the time it took it confused me. Anyway, I again made sure I got first 6-7 questions absolutely right and increasingly lagged behind the time.There wasn't a single problem in the first half of the exam which was straightforward and of the form I was familiar with (I studied NOVA's quants thoroughly as they are the best in quants, and also Kaplan and barrons math section).DI's were relatively easy and there were two of them one towards the fag end.I marched very fast as had only 2 ,minutes for the last 4 questions but used up all those time for the q no 25 with 3 left unanswered.Even in q no. 25 although I marked one option I was not sure so I was still thinking and could not click next when time went out.To my surprise The test was kind enough(I must be joking!) to ask me if it could take that as my answer and I said yes please and prayed it would correct. O, by the way ,to catch up with time I made two educated guesses in two problems whose calculation was very lengthy.So in all I had 3 problems unanswered and two guess and god knows what about the rest.So ......:hmm:tell me how I should have felt that time?It was complete despair,frustration,rage and depression.I was almost certain to take it again next month and almost ended up canceling my scores.But then gave it a shot and voila! I saw Verbal 640,Quants 760 !!!! it was unbelievable for me.I had set 1450 as my target.So this is not bad.In fact after the disaster it was a blessing from god.I guess my "first 5 correct" strategy worked.I dont know where does this 1400 fit,as I frequently see 1500+ scores in this forum. Thanks for numerous posts in this forum and sharing your experiences.I really got a lot of useful information from them.And all of you preparing for the GRE, my best wishes for you,and keep in mind get first 5 absolutely correct,then it wont hurt much if it goes wrong later. Best of luck and cheers to all:tup:
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