I think that you should have a good shot at schools you listed. Funding should not be a problem, it always seems to work out at most of the schools you listed (I can't really comment on UCSB, did you mean UCSD?).
I would listen to your advisor as he/she probably has some experience with sending students to US universities and would be able to judge the situation best. Your references look like they will come from people who should be able to compare you to PhD candidates at top schools and that's always useful for adcomms. In short, I don't think you are aiming too high, but if you definitely want to get in somewhere, I would add a few more safety schools (you can try Wisconsin Madison as they admit quite a lot of people).
Good luck with it all anyway!