Thanks! That's helpful. I saw a Twitter thread that suggested something like a 1.2 sociology graduates to sociology TT jobs ratio (Daniel Laurison on Twitter: "I asked about this earlier & found the answers, so, in sociology:
2016 - 652 new PhDs, 314 AP-only jobs, 526 total jobs
2015 - 763 new PhDs, 325 AP-only, 485 total
2014 - 711 new PhDs, 333 AP-only, 489 total
2013 - 663 new PhDs, 351 AP-only, 469 total
(Sources in next tweet)"), and with your numbers it's approximately 0.5 to 0.75 in management. It's hard to convert those numbers into "chances you will get a TT job" but it seems like that large difference is decent evidence that the management job market is way better than sociology!